Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Can Mitt Romney Afford to Alienate Hispanic Voters?

Campaign Finance Reform - Can Mitt Romney Afford to Alienate Hispanic Voters?
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The election campaign that Mitt Romney has run so far, has not taken into observation basic arithmetic. This is because the more 'conservative' he tries to appear to ultra-conservative republicans (a voting bloc that tends to vote in the primaries) in a very conservative former fight, the more he is in danger of losing a very foremost swing vote: the Hispanic voting bloc. Yes, I know the Hispanic vote is not monolithic, and I know that Cuban-Americans in Florida do not all the time see eye-to-eye on every issue with the Mexican-American vote from Texas, or that the Puerto Rican vote from New York City does not all the time vote the same way that Dominicans do in the city of Boston. Nevertheless, after taking all of these differences into consideration, there is one issue that unites all Hispanics, and it is not the immigration debate. The main issue that unites all Hispanics is the one of perception and acceptance. This has to do with the reliance that Republicans will never actually accept them, and narrate their interests, and that Democrats just take them for granted. Signs of this well-placed reliance about Republican perceptions are being reinforced by the debate taking place within the Republican Party in the primaries. Hispanics are paying close attentiveness to the rhetoric, and some of the xenophobic attitudes emanating from the discourse. One may assume that this vitriolic and ugly debate will only get nastier. This is the reliance that as the ensuing debate gets more heated; the candidates will keep shifting to the right, as they reach the early former battles states in the South. Due to all of these events, it is practically impossible not to get an impression of déjà vu about the last election cycle. Four years ago, after having voted Republican in the last two elections, most Hispanics felt betrayed by Senator McCain's sudden reversal on every issue and overwhelmingly supported then-Senator Obama thus guaranteeing his election to the presidency of the United States.

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George Bush was elected president in 2000 because he was able to break the hold that democrats had over the Hispanic vote in key states. He again repeated this feat four years later in 2004. We can deduce that Jeb Bush had a lot to do with this, by going all out and getting the Hispanic vote for his brother in those foremost swing Southwestern states, in increasing to Florida. In 2008 President Obama followed the same winning method and was elected president winning the majority of the Hispanic vote, in those same key Southwestern states that George Bush won in 2000, and 2004. He complete this by defeating Senator McCain after his flip-flop on the immigration reform debacle that had turned off so many Hispanic voters. It must be clear to the president that with the gift economic situation hitting Hispanics disproportionally, the Hispanic vote this time nearby is up in the air, and no one can predict which of the candidates will end up obtaining it. One thing that is clear is that what the candidates do or not do in the next thirteen months will be crucial in determining who will end up obtaining it.

Unfortunately for Mitt Romney he does not have person like Jeb Bush to go and deliver the Hispanic vote for him, like he did for his brother. This puts Mitt Romney in a very precarious situation where in order to appease his foes in the ultimate right of the party; he may alienate Hispanics with his ever-growing anti-immigrant tone. This may be a repeat of 2008 as he runs into the same situation that complete Senator McCain's presidential aspirations.

In the advent election the political scenery is just as divided as in 2004, with one very foremost disagreement that may hurt Republicans. There is a growing anti-business fever that will only growth as the campaign gets closer. This is stock of the group disappointment with all politicians, as they are perceived as playing irresponsible brinkmanship political games that have only contributed to the worsening of the economy. The anti-capitalist anger due to the bailouts and the banking crisis can not be underestimated, and there are signs that some Republicans may do so at their own peril. This issue will come to be very foremost because as the cheaper worsens, (with unemployment at over 9%, the bailouts, and the foreclosure debacle fresh on their minds), voters will not be in the mood to hear the same old Republican arguments of small government, low taxes, anti-abortion, anti-gay marriage, and free trade agreements. I believe that with the high costs of heating a home in winter (and the perception that Wall street speculators are to blame), high fuel prices to fill up your tank, and no jobs to pay for it, the consulation instead will come to be more government help, higher taxes for the rich to pay for it, protectionist sentiment against China, and a throw- the- bums- out attitude for anything that gets in their way.

Just as voters voted President Obama in and then showed their disappointment two years later, I believe that this time nearby they will have the same anti-incumbent attitude that is neither Republican or Democrat but a rebellion against a government that is perceived to be run by the captains of finance and masters of the universe dwelling in lower Manhattan. Democrats, Republicans, Progressives, Tea Party followers, and Libertarians alike are all missing the point. I believe that it is for this think that there are demonstrations all over the country springing up without any prior planning, political affiliation, and composed of people of every political stripe and ethnic makeup that are united in only one base belief: the principles of government as it stands has failed us, and it is about time that we do something about it.

In view of this political minefield, it would make sense for Mitt Romney to get as many friends as he can get, and do his best not to marginalize any political group, or voting bloc. For this think I believe that in order for Mr. Romney to even have a opening at winning this election and defeating President Obama, the last thing he can afford is to alienate a political bloc that may catapult him into the presidency of the United States.

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